US Election -> Polls
Race to the White House
- Polling average calculated by The Race to the White House
- Weights polls by past accuracy, sample size, and recency
Race to the White House Poll Average in the PollyVote
PollyVote translates the two-party shares derived from the 270toWin poll average for Biden and Trump into its poll component. Furthermore, PollyVote utilizes past differences between a typical poll average and final vote shares to calculate 80% empirical confidence intervals around the predicted vote shares.