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Germany 2025
US 2024
Polls
Expectations
Expert judgment
Crowd forecasting
Citizen forecasts
Models
Mixed models
Retrospective models
Prospective models
Naive
About
US 2024
Polls
Aggregate of different poll averages
Sources:
FiveThirtyEight
,
RCP Poll Average
,
270toWin
,
Economist
,
Race to the White House
,
Cook Political Report
,
Silver Bulletin
,
JHK