US 2024 -> Expectations -> Expert judgment
PollyVote Pundit Poll
- Monthly expert surveys, conducted by PollyVote prior to all U.S. presidential elections since 2004
- Experts are political science professors from various U.S. universities, specializing in election studies
Who will be president?
In the survey, experts are asked to provide estimates of the vote shares and electoral votes for Kamala Harris, Donald Trump, and all other candidates combined. Additionally, they are asked to estimate the probability of Kamala Harris being elected as president.
Who will control the Senate?
In the survey, experts are asked to predict the Senate seats held by the Democrats, Republicans, and all other parties combined after the 2024 election. Additionally, they are asked to estimate the probability for the Republican Party to gain control of the Senate.
Who will control the House?
In the survey, experts are asked to predict the House seats held by the Democrats, Republicans, and all other parties combined after the 2024 election. Additionally, they are asked to estimate the probability for the Republican Party to keep control of the House.
Survey rounds and expert participants
Since 2004, PollyVote has conducted monthly surveys among political science professors in the United States, gathering their insights on election outcomes. Many of our expert panelists have been with us since the very beginning of the project in 2004. We extend our heartfelt thanks to all of you for your continued support!
