US 2024 -> Expectations -> Crowd forecasting
Good Judgment Open
- extension of the Good Judgment Project (GJP), which was a research project funded by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) to study and improve the accuracy of geopolitical forecasts
- harness the power of crowdsourcing to generate accurate predictions on a wide range of topics, from political elections to economic trends and beyond.
- Participants earn points based on the accuracy of their predictions. The scoring system rewards accurate forecasts and penalizes inaccuracies. Leaderboards display the rankings of participants, fostering a sense of competition and encouraging continued participation.