US 2024 -> Expectations -> Crowd forecasting

Good Judgment Open

  • extension of the Good Judgment Project (GJP), which was a research project funded by the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) to study and improve the accuracy of geopolitical forecasts
  • harness the power of crowdsourcing to generate accurate predictions on a wide range of topics, from political elections to economic trends and beyond.
  • Participants earn points based on the accuracy of their predictions. The scoring system rewards accurate forecasts and penalizes inaccuracies. Leaderboards display the rankings of participants, fostering a sense of competition and encouraging continued participation.